The Promise of a Fertility Transition in Sub-Saharan Africa Blog Post
by Sara Rotenberg
The United Nations Population Division estimates that the population of sub-Saharan Africa will quadruple by the end of the century. That is, the population will go from its mid-2018 level of 1.05 billion people to 4 billion people by 2100. While this estimate is contingent on the pace of the decrease of high fertility levels, this type of rapid population growth raises concerns about how countries might prepare and address the long-lasting and economic impacts of the rising demographic pressure. For example, with a population of 196 million people and a total fertility rate of 5.5 children per woman, Nigeria will more than double its population by mid-2050, according to the Population Reference Bureau, making it the third largest country in the world, after India and China.